Ends on

Jul 1, 2027

Created by

Limitless

Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

Vol. 0 USDC

December 31, 2026

3%

June 30, 2027

8.5%

YES

3% Chance

Volume $0

Resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”


Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.


Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.


The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve according to Polymarket's final resolution and rules.

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Trade this market

December 31, 2026

YES: 4.5¢

NO: 98.5¢