Argentina to win WC with a penalty, opponent red card or VAR in SF/Fin

This market will resolve to "YES" if both of the following conditions are met:

1. Argentina wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, as confirmed by the official FIFA.com tournament page.
2. At least one of the following referee decisions occurs during regular time or extra time in Argentina's semifinal (vs England, July 15, 2026) or final (July 19, 2026, if Argentina advances):

• Argentina's opponent receives a red card (straight red or second yellow card resulting in dismissal), as recorded in the Lineup section of the official FIFA.com match report for the relevant game.
• A goal by Argentina's opponent is disallowed following a VAR review, as shown in the Live Blog section of the official FIFA.com match report for the relevant game, indicated by an entry such as "VAR — Goal disallowed" or equivalent wording.
• Argentina scores a penalty kick, as recorded in the Match Summary section of the official FIFA.com match report for the relevant game.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO."

Penalty shootouts do not count.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled or not completed by August 19, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."

If the data on the website is unavailable for 72 hours after the relevant match is completed, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.