BTC Up or Down - 5 Min
Nov 1, 01:20 – 01:25 UTC
Up 100%
UP
100% Chance
Volume $0
Resolution
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Chainlink BTC/USD 60-second TWAP on November 1, 2026, at 01:25 UTC is greater than or equal to the Price to Beat captured from the same TWAP on November 1, 2026, at 01:20 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down".
The Chainlink BTC/USD 60-second TWAP is used for both the Price to Beat and resolution. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used.
The Price to Beat captured from the Chainlink BTC/USD 60-second TWAP on November 1, 2026, at 01:20 UTC was $77573.068695512161452032.
This market will resolve according to Polymarket's final resolution and rules.
Created At: Nov 1, 2026, 1:15 AM UTC
Resolution Source
View Chainlink StreamResolution Data
Pair
BTC/USD
Feed ID
0x0002ee6757e8822c00d273bc340fc24c9cafe123a4ff2ea1dbdb31944bc7d95f
Stream type
TWAP (60s)
Open target
Nov 1, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Open selected
Nov 1, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC
Open raw
77573068695512161452032
Close target
Nov 1, 2026, 1:25 AM UTC
Close selected
Nov 1, 2026, 1:25 AM UTC
Close offset
0s
Close raw
77584471194372998692864
Outcome
UP
Data shown on the Chainlink website may be delayed by a couple of minutes. For live data, use Chainlink APIs directly.
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How it works
BTC Up or Down – 5 Min, resolved by the Chainlink BTC/USD 60s TWAP.
What is the BTC 5-minute Up or Down market?
What is the BTC 5-minute Up or Down market?
Each market is a 5-minute window (e.g. 18:00–18:05 UTC). You predict whether Bitcoin closes the window at or above its opening price (the "Price to Beat"), which is Up, or below it, which is Down. Both prices come from the Chainlink BTC/USD 60-second TWAP. Other exchanges, spot markets and oracles are not used.
How Up vs Down is decided
How Up vs Down is decided
- Price to Beat: the Chainlink BTC/USD 60s TWAP captured at window open.
- You trade Up or Down while the window runs.
- At the deadline, the closing TWAP is read from the same stream.
- If Close ≥ Price to Beat, the market resolves Up (a tie resolves Up). If Close < Price to Beat, it resolves Down.
- Winning shares redeem for $1.00 USDC after the on-chain payout is posted.
Because the TWAP is an average over the window rather than a single tick, a momentary price spike at the boundary doesn't decide the market on its own.
If the price feed is missing
If the price feed is missing
The report at the exact resolution time is used first. If it's unavailable, the first Chainlink observation within the following 5 seconds is used. If none exists, the market doesn't resolve automatically and is handled per its description.
Worked example
Worked example
The Price to Beat at 18:00 UTC is $83,000.00. You buy 100 Up shares at $0.52 = $52.00 (before fees).
- Close $83,010.00 → Up → redeem for $100.00 USDC
- Close $83,000.00 (exact tie) → Up → redeem for $100.00 USDC
- Close $82,990.00 → Down → shares worth $0
Not a real trade. Fees excluded.
Fees
Fees
Fees depend on market type. See Fees.
How you get paid
How you get paid
- Wait for the window to close and the market to resolve.
- Once the on-chain payout is posted, each winning share redeems for $1.00 USDC. Losing shares are worth $0. A 50-50 resolution pays $0.50 per share.
- Go to Portfolio → Positions → Redeem and sign with your wallet. Self-custodial wallets aren't auto-redeemed.
- There's no trading fee on redemption. You can also sell before the close at the market price; a taker fee applies if your order fills immediately.
5-minute vs 15-minute vs hourly
5-minute vs 15-minute vs hourly
| 5 Min | 15 Min | Hourly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Window | 5 minutes | 15 minutes | 1 hour |
| Resolution source | Chainlink 60s TWAP | Chainlink 60s TWAP | See market rules |
| Link | /markets/btc-5min-price | /markets/btc-15min-price | /crypto/hourly |
How it compares to Polymarket and Kalshi
How it compares to Polymarket and Kalshi
| Limitless | Polymarket | Kalshi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-minute BTC market | Yes | Yes ("BTC Up or Down 5m") | No; shortest BTC series is 15 min |
| Resolution source | Chainlink BTC/USD 60s TWAP | Chainlink BTC/USD | n/a |
| Tie | Up | Up ("greater than or equal to") | n/a |
Trading via API
Trading via API
Chainlink-resolved markets expose metadata.chainlinkDataStream (streamType: spot / twap, twapWindowSeconds). Up is the YES side (outcome index 0). See the API docs.
Frequently asked questions
Frequently asked questions
What is BTC up or down 5 minutes?
A market on whether Bitcoin closes a 5-minute window at or above its opening Price to Beat (Up) or below it (Down).
How is the Bitcoin 5-minute market resolved? Which price source is used?
The Chainlink BTC/USD 60-second TWAP, for both the Price to Beat and the close. No other exchanges or oracles are used.
What is the "Price to Beat"?
The TWAP captured at the window's open time, shown on the market page.
What if BTC closes exactly at the Price to Beat?
The market resolves Up (greater than or equal to).
Is there a 15-minute version?
Yes: BTC Up or Down 15 Min (/markets/btc-15min-price).
When do I get paid and how do I claim?
After resolution, once the on-chain payout is posted, go to Portfolio → Positions → Redeem. Each winning share pays $1.00 USDC.
What are the fees?
Fees depend on market type. See the Fees page.
Can I sell before the 5 minutes end?
Yes, at the current market price. A taker fee applies if your order fills immediately.
What if the market resolves wrong?
Under the refund policy, holders of the side that should have won are refunded the amount they paid for those shares.
Related: Market resolution · Fees · How trading fees work · BTC 15 Min · ETH 5 Min · BNB 5 Min · Hourly markets · API introduction
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