Ends on

Dec 31, 2026

Created by

Limitless

<5

Yes 54.4%

No 45.6%

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YES

54.4% Chance

Volume $223

Resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".


A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.


The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution is centralised and made by the Limitless team

Top holders are being prepared

Check back soon

Trade this market

<5

YES: 68.3¢

NO: 59.5¢