Ends on

Dec 31, 2026

Created by

Limitless

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Winner-takes-all

5-6 52.5%

<5 50%

13-14 49.95%

15-16 49.95%

Volume $1,013

Outcomes

Volume

$223

50%

5-6

Volume

$45

52.5%

7-8

Volume

$511

1.3%

9-10

Volume

$233

50%

11-12

Volume

0.5%

13-14

Volume

50%

15-16

Volume

50%

>16

Volume

0.8%

Resolution

This market will resolve according to Polymarket's final resolution and rules.

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