Ends on
Aug 22, 2028
Created by
Limitless
Santiago Abascal
Yes 6.8%
No 93.2%
YES
6.8% Chance
Volume $0
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Resolution
If Santiago Abascal becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Outcome verified from Congress of Deputies and King of Spain.
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Santiago Abascal
YES: 11¢
NO: 97.5¢
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