Before Oct 16, 2026
2.5%
Before Oct 30, 2026
56.3%
Before Nov 13, 2026
76.5%
Before Nov 27, 2026
50%
Before Dec 11, 2026
95%
YES
2.5% Chance
Volume $0
Resolution
If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 15 After issuance and before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX
Outcome verified from SpaceX.
This market will resolve according to Kalshi's final resolution and rules.
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Before Oct 16, 2026
YES: 4Β’
NO: 99Β’
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