Ends on

Oct 8, 2026

Created by

Limitless

What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

Vol. 0 USDC

Melania

53%

China (5+ times)

42.8%

Peace

35%

Economy / Economic

29.3%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

23.8%

Great Hall

21%

Deal

19.3%

Billion / Trillion

13.5%

Invest / Invested / Investment

13%

Iran / Iranian

12%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

11.8%

Manufacture / Manufacturing

8.3%

Nuclear

8.3%

Boeing

6.3%

Fake News

Biden

Tariff

5.8%

Soybean

5.8%

Farm / Farmer / Farming

5.8%

Stock Market

5.5%

United Nations / NATO

5.5%

Ukraine

Rare Earth

3.5%

Russia / Russian

3.3%

Taiwan

2.5%

North Korea

2.5%

Peace in the Middle East

1.3%

Event does not qualify

0.8%

YES

53% Chance

Volume $0

Resolution

Donald Trump says Melania as part of remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026

, then the market resolves to Yes.

How this is resolved

Video of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.

If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival ceremony originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 will be used.

Payout Criteria

The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.

Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).

Donald Trump speaking in an official capacity.

For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.

Doesn't count for payout

Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.

Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).

Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.

Payout for cancellations and delays

If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.

If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Outcome verified from ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, Axios, CNN, Reuters, The New York Times, The Washington Post, the Associated Press, and Politico.