Ends on
Jan 1, 2027
Created by
Limitless
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes 4.3%
No 95.7%
Volume $8,648
Order Book
Resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to Polymarket's final resolution and rules.
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