Will Opinion (opinion.trade) be sued for fraud by June 2026?

Opinion is a prediction market platform operating at opinion.trade. This market resolves to "YES" if a formal legal complaint explicitly alleging fraud (including securities fraud, wire fraud, or common law fraud) is filed against Opinion (opinion.trade) or its parent company/operators in any court of competent jurisdiction, confirmed by either an official court record or a credible news report citing case details, on or before May 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO."

Primary Source: PACER federal court docket search — https://pacer.uscourts.gov Secondary Sources: Reuters Legal News (https://www.reuters.com/legal/), CoinDesk (https://www.coindesk.com), The Block (https://www.theblock.co), Bloomberg Law (https://www.bloomberg.com/professional/product/bloomberg-law/)

Market Deadline: May 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET

Note: A government agency (e.g., SEC, CFTC) filing a formal enforcement complaint specifically alleging fraud qualifies as a lawsuit and resolves to YES. A mere investigation, subpoena, or informal inquiry does not. If Opinion is sued solely for non-fraud claims (e.g., breach of contract, negligence), the market resolves to NO. A fraud lawsuit filed against a founder, employee, or affiliated entity where Opinion (opinion.trade) is not named as a defendant resolves to NO. A lawsuit that is filed but immediately dismissed still resolves to YES, as only the filing is required.