Ends on
Dec 31, 2026
Created by
Limitless
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 50%
No 50%
Volume $0
Order Book
Resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
This market will resolve according to Polymarket's final resolution and rules.
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