Above -0.5%
97%
Above -0.4%
93.2%
Above -0.3%
75.3%
Above -0.2%
59.5%
Above -0.1%
34.2%
Above 0.0%
30.1%
Above 0.1%
9.9%
Above 0.2%
5.5%
Volume $25
Resolution
If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
-0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States. This market will resolve using the month-over-month percent change for August 2026 stated in the first Conference Board release that reports the August 2026 LEI.
The market will use the percent change expressly reported by The Conference Board and will not independently calculate the change from index levels. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
This market does not refer to the LEI index level, its six-month change or diffusion index, the Coincident Economic Index, or the Lagging Economic Index.
Outcome verified from The Conference Board.
This market will resolve according to Kalshi's final resolution and rules.
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