Economy Finance Prediction Markets

June Inflation US - Annual

≤3.6%

2.1%

3.7%

27%

3.8%

49.3%

3.9%

21.9%

4.0%

2.8%

4.1%

1.9%

4.2%

2.1%

4.3%

3%

4.4%

3%

4.5%

3%

4.6%

3%

≥4.7%

3%

June Inflation US - Monthly

≤0.1%

97.6%

0.3%

3%

0.4%

3%

0.5%

3%

0.2%

2.3%

0.6%

1.1%

0.7%

1.1%

0.8%

1.1%

≥0.9%

0.5%

Fed rate cut by __?

July Meeting

0.9%

September Meeting

5.1%

October Meeting

12.1%

December Meeting

20%

June Meeting

NO

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

2.0–2.5%

34.6%

1.5–2.0%

26.7%

2.5–3.0%

21.4%

1.0–1.5%

10.6%

3.0–3.5%

5%

≥3.5%

3%

<1.0%

2.1%

Fed Decision in July?

No change

64.5%

25 bps increase

34.7%

50+ bps increase

1.5%

25 bps decrease

0.9%

50+ bps decrease

0.5%

Will South Korea issue at least ₩16T in KTBs in August 2026?

43.5% chance

56.5%

New World screwworm recorded in __ US states by end of August 2026

3

72.8%

4

52%

5

24.1%

US New World screwworm above __ animal cases by end of August 2026

50

43.8%

75

28.6%

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

<1.5%

3.8%

1.5% to 1.7%

7%

1.8% to 2.0%

27%

2.1% to 2.3%

33%

2.4% to 2.6%

26.3%

2.7% to 2.9%

0.5%

3.0%+

43.5%

Will Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?

12.1% chance

87.9%

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

↑ 16,000

18.8%

↑ 14,000

13%

↓ 10,000

40.1%

↓ 8,000

11.8%

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

$10.000+

28.4%

$9.000+

27.3%

$8.000+

52.6%

$7.000+

70%

US recession by end of 2026?

10% chance

90%

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