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Trade on economic indicators, stock prices, and market moves. From jobs reports to egg prices to NVIDIA — put your predictions where your money is.

Economy Markets

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Economy Markets

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Core PCE YoY - August 2026

≤3.0%

50%

3.1%

50%

3.2%

50%

3.3%

50%

3.4%

50%

3.5%

50%

3.6%+

0.5%

Colombia rate decision in September

Cut more than 25bps

1.1%

Cut 1-25bps

1.1%

Maintain current rate

67.5%

Hike 1-25bps

16.8%

Hike more than 25bps

7.8%

South Korea exports YoY for September

Above 45.0%

97.5%

Above 50.0%

94.2%

Above 55.0%

86.8%

Above 60.0%

79.5%

Above 65.0%

65.5%

Above 70.0%

60.5%

Above 75.0%

47.5%

Above 80.0%

47.5%

Above 85.0%

50%

Fed rate cut by __?

October Meeting

0.9%

December Meeting

2.8%

June Meeting

July Meeting

September Meeting

September Inflation US - Annual

≤2.9%

0.8%

3.0%

0.8%

3.1%

0.5%

3.2%

0.8%

3.3%

2.3%

3.4%

3.5%

3.6%

71.9%

3.7%

26.5%

3.8%

5.8%

3.9%

2.5%

≥4.0%

2.1%

PPI YoY - September 2026

≤5.0%

8.1%

5.1%

1.1%

5.2%

5.3%

6.8%

5.4%

50%

5.5%

49.9%

5.6%

12%

5.7%

19%

5.8%

20.5%

5.9%+

37.5%

Bank of Korea decision in October?

50+ bps cut

0.5%

25 bps cut

0.5%

No Change

67.3%

25 bps hike

31.8%

50+ bps hike

1.1%

South Korea GDP growth (YoY) in Q3 2026?

<2.0%

50%

2.0–2.4%

13.3%

2.5–2.9%

37.5%

3.0–3.4%

34.8%

3.5–3.9%

8.5%

4.0–4.4%

3.3%

4.5–4.9%

0.5%

5.0%+

0.5%

Fed Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease

50%

25 bps decrease

0.8%

No change

64.5%

25 bps increase

33.5%

50+ bps increase

0.8%

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

50+ bps decrease

0.5%

25 bps decrease

0.5%

No change

80.5%

25 bps increase

19%

50+ bps increase

0.5%

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

50+ bps decrease

0.5%

25 bps decrease

0.5%

No change

78.8%

25 bps increase

20.3%

50+ bps increase

0.8%

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

50+ bps increase

0.5%

25 bps increase

0.5%

No Change

24%

25 bps decrease

73.5%

50+ bps decrease

2.5%

Bank of England decision in November?

50+ bps decrease

0.5%

25 bps decrease

0.5%

No change

15.5%

25 bps increase

84.5%

50+ bps increase

0.5%

Bank of Korea decision in November?

50+ bps cut

1.1%

25 bps cut

No Change

41.5%

25 bps hike

46.5%

50+ bps hike

7.5%

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

50+ bps decrease

1.3%

25 bps decrease

1.6%

No change

11.5%

25 bps increase

82.5%

50+ bps increase

2.8%

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026

<1.5%

50%

1.5% to 1.7%

50%

1.8% to 2.0%

4.6%

2.1% to 2.3%

50.8%

2.4% to 2.6%

50%

2.7% to 2.9%

20.8%

3.0%+

50.7%

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.00%

1.8%

Below 4.10%

Below 4.20%

4.3%

Below 4.25%

Below 4.30%

4.5%

Below 4.35%

9.8%

Below 4.40%

9.8%

Below 4.45%

14.5%

Below 4.50%

17.8%

Will Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?

5% chance

95%

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

↑ 16,000

↑ 14,000

50%

↓ 10,000

50%

↓ 8,000

Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

$10.000+

51.8%

$9.000+

52.3%

$8.000+

50%

$7.000+

50%

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

5% chance

95%

US recession by end of 2026?

50% chance

50%

More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?

94.8% chance

5.3%

More markets to explore

Politics

(64 total)

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

50% chance

50%

Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?

September 30?

1.1%

August 30?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

September 30

0.8%

August 31

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3)

<80

1.3%

80-99

3.5%

100-119

16%

120-139

22.5%

140-159

22%

160-179

16.3%

180-199

11.5%

200-219

6.5%

220-240

>240

4.5%

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 332?

1.8% chance

98.2%

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes

80.5%

Douglas Ruas

19.3%

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

3% chance

97%

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