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72

Duration

Daily

14

Weekly

5

Finance Events

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14

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4

Economy

24

Company News

14

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6

More finance events

Finance

Trade on economic indicators, stock prices, and market moves. From jobs reports to egg prices to NVIDIA — put your predictions where your money is.

Company News Markets

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Company News Markets

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SpaceX Starship 15th launch?

Before Oct 16, 2026

2.5%

Before Oct 30, 2026

56.3%

Before Nov 13, 2026

75.5%

Before Nov 27, 2026

81%

Before Dec 11, 2026

95%

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5

50%

5-6

50%

7-8

2.5%

9-10

1.4%

11-12

0.5%

13-14

50%

15-16

50%

>16

0.8%

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

September 30

50%

October 31

98.7%

December 31

99.5%

September 15

NO

September 9

NO

September 10

NO

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

50% chance

50%

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

3% chance

97%

Stripe next round valuation

Above $120B

52.4%

$120B-$100B

47.6%

$100B-$91.5B

9.6%

$91.5B-$80B

8.5%

$80B-$60B

7.3%

Below $60B

6%

No funding round

47.6%

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?

6.8% chance

93.3%

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

27.5% chance

72.5%

How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?

Above 0

89.3%

Above 1000

28.5%

Above 5000

10.5%

Above 10000

50%

Above 15000

3%

Above 20000

5.8%

Above 25000

2%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑ $3.0T

23.5%

↑ $2.5T

51%

↑ $2.0T

75.5%

↑ $1.75T

81%

↑ $1.5T

91%

↓ $800B

3%

↓ $700B

3.8%

↓ $600B

2.5%

↑ $4.0T

6.5%

↑ $5.0T

4.8%

AST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?

25

50%

30

50%

35

50%

40

50%

45

50%

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

<$1.25T

2.1%

$1.25–$1.5T

2%

$1.5–$1.75T

5.8%

$1.75–$2.0T

19.5%

$2.0–$2.25T

26%

$2.25–$2.5T

23.5%

$2.5–$2.75T

12.8%

$2.75–$3.0T

2%

$3.0T+

1.8%

No IPO by December 31, 2027

2.3%

Payward announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2027

14.8%

December 31, 2028

22.5%

December 31, 2029

27.5%

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2027

6.5%

December 31, 2028

15.5%

December 31, 2029

20.5%

More markets to explore

Crypto

(65 total)

BTC Up or Down - 5 Min

18.8% chance

81.3%

ETH Up or Down - 5 Min

13% chance

87%

BTC Up or Down - 15 Min

31.3% chance

68.7%

ETH Up or Down - 15 Min

9% chance

91%

BTC Up or Down Hourly

50% chance

50%

ETH Up or Down Hourly

40% chance

60%

Solana Up or Down Hourly

63.9% chance

36%

XRP Up or Down Hourly

61.7% chance

38.4%

Politics

(64 total)

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

50% chance

50%

Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by...?

September 30?

1.1%

August 30?

NO

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

September 30

0.8%

August 31

NO

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5%

57%

Flávio Bolsonaro <5%

25%

Lula da Silva 5-10%

18.3%

Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%

2.5%

Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+

1.6%

Lula da Silva 10-15%

1.1%

Lula da Silva 15%+

0.8%

Other

0.5%

Ratinho Júnior Victory

0.5%

Tarcisio de Freitas Victory

0.5%

Renan Santos Victory

50%

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/27-10/3)

<80

1.3%

80-99

3.5%

100-119

16%

120-139

22.5%

140-159

22%

160-179

16.3%

180-199

11.5%

200-219

6.5%

220-240

4%

>240

4.5%

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 332?

1.8% chance

98.2%

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes

80.5%

Douglas Ruas

19.3%

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?

3% chance

97%

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